Publications

2026

Hennessy, Susan, Joanne Penko, Brandon K Bellows, Pamela G Coxson, Ross Boylan, Kendra D Sims, Alexis Beatty, et al. (2026) 2026. “Cost-Effectiveness of Semaglutide for Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in US Adults.”. JAMA Cardiology 11 (3): 229-38. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamacardio.2025.5243.

IMPORTANCE: Semaglutide reduces the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in adults with overweight or obesity and cardiovascular disease (CVD) but without diabetes. The cost-effectiveness and budget impact of semaglutide therapy could inform ongoing Medicare price negotiations but are uncertain.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of semaglutide for secondary prevention of CVD and potential effect on US health care spending.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This population-based cohort simulation study used the CVD Policy Model, a validated simulation model of CVD outcomes and costs in the US, to evaluate lifetime cost-effectiveness of semaglutide. The addition of lifetime treatment with weekly subcutaneous semaglutide to usual care compared with usual care alone in US adults age 45 years or older, with a body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) of 27 or higher, and history of myocardial infarction or stroke, without diabetes were evaluated. The model incorporated annual semaglutide cost of $8604 (2023 US price net of rebates and discounts) and adopted a health-system perspective. Sensitivity analyses explored uncertainty. These data were analyzed from January 2024 and June 2025.

EXPOSURE: Semaglutide and usual care compared with usual care alone.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Main outcomes were lifetime MACE (cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke), incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), and change in annual US health care spending.

RESULTS: Adding semaglutide to usual care in the estimated 4 million US adults without diabetes eligible for secondary prevention of CVD is projected to avert 358 400 MACE at a cost of $148 100 per QALY gained (95% uncertainty interval, $127 100-$173 400). The mean age of this cohort was 66 years and 55% were male and 45% were female. Treatment with semaglutide was projected to increase annual health care spending by $23 billion. Semaglutide would be cost-effective at a threshold of $120 000 per QALY gained if the annual cost were lowered an additional 18% to $7055. Semaglutide is cost-effective for this indication at the cash price currently available to self-paying customers ($5988; incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, $99 600 per QALY gained).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Semaglutide for secondary prevention of CVD in US adults with overweight or obesity but without diabetes is projected to yield meaningful health benefits. Lowering annual drug costs by 18% from $8604 to $7055-or making the current cash price available to all patients-would make semaglutide cost-effective at $120 000 per QALY gained.

Raja, Aishwarya, Anna Krawisz, Yang Song, Siling Li, Robert W Yeh, Anahita Dua, and Eric A Secemsky. (2026) 2026. “Sex Differences in Outcomes After Infrarenal Endovascular Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) Repair Among Medicare Beneficiaries.”. Vascular Medicine (London, England), 1358863X251415154. https://doi.org/10.1177/1358863X251415154.

BACKGROUND: Despite improving abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) outcomes in the United States, significant disparities exist. Smaller studies found that women experienced worse outcomes after endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR), yet few larger analyses have confirmed this. This study aimed to characterize sex-related differences in outcomes among patients who underwent infrarenal EVAR.

METHODS: Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries ⩾ 66 years old who underwent infrarenal EVAR for intact AAA between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2019 were included in this retrospective cohort study. The primary outcome was a composite of late aneurysm rupture, aortic reintervention, conversion to open repair, or all-cause mortality. Cox regression and Fine-Gray models were used.

RESULTS: Among 111,381 patients, the mean age was 76.63 ± 6.60 years, 92.88% were White, and 21.19% were women. The maximum follow-up was 3283 days. The hazard of the primary outcome was higher in women in the adjusted model (p = 0.013). When mortality was excluded, the association with sex persisted (p < 0.0010 [adjusted subdistribution model]; p < 0.0010 [adjusted cause-specific model]). Women experienced a lower frequency of postprocedural office visits, but a higher frequency of emergency department visits and hospital readmissions.

CONCLUSION: Women undergoing EVAR had a greater risk of adverse outcomes and unexpected healthcare utilization. Further investigation is warranted to determine the drivers of these outcomes.

Koo, Chieh Yang Christopher, Siling Li, Rasha Al-Lamee, David J Cohen, William F Fearon, Ajay J Kirtane, Martin B Leon, Guy Witberg, Robert W Yeh, and Eric A Secemsky. (2026) 2026. “Angiography-Derived Fractional Flow Reserve During Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.”. Circulation. Cardiovascular Interventions. https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCINTERVENTIONS.125.016213.

Background: Angiography-derived fractional flow reserve (Angio-FFR) is an emerging tool for guiding percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Its uptake and outcomes compared to pressure wire (PW)-based assessment in the US are unknown. Methods: We conducted a cohort study of US Medicare beneficiary data from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2024. Propensity score matching (1:3) of Angio-FFR to PW was performed in patients who underwent PCI during the same procedure, and separately among those who did not undergo PCI during the same procedure. The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) through 2 years, including all-cause death, myocardial infarction (MI) and repeat revascularization. Secondary outcomes included individual MACE components, 30-day acute kidney injury and 30-day major bleeding. Falsification endpoints (hospitalization for pneumonia and hip fracture) were used to assess unmeasured confounding. Results: Of 466,535 angiograms that included intra-procedural physiologic assessment, 1.00% (N=4,672) used Angio-FFR. Annual use increased from 0.47% in 2019 to 3.85% in 2024. Among PCI patients, 1,591 Angio-FFR and 4,773 PW matched PCI patients had similar MACE rates through 2 years (24.8% vs 23.5%; HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.85 - 1.20). Secondary outcomes and falsification endpoints were not significantly different. In non-PCI patients, 2,532 Angio-FFR and 7,596 PW matched patients also had similar MACE through 2 years (24.1% vs 23.9%; HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.84 - 1.11). Conclusions: Angio-FFR usage in the US is modest but increasing. Angio-FFR guidance during angiography versus PW was associated with comparable outcomes through 2 years.

Piccini, Jonathan P, Jonathan C Hsu, Douglas N Gibson, James Freeman V, Samir R Kapadia, Robert W Yeh, Matthew J Price, et al. (2026) 2026. “Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion and Concomitant Catheter Ablation Procedures.”. Heart Rhythm. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hrthm.2026.03.1880.

BACKGROUND: The safety and effectiveness of concomitant catheter ablation at the time of left atrial appendage (LAA) occlusion (LAAO) are not well characterized.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to describe the safety and effectiveness of LAAO during concomitant ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) with LAAO performed as a stand-alone procedure.

METHODS: Patients from the Surveillance Postapproval Analysis Plan who underwent concomitant ablation and LAAO were compared with patients who underwent LAAO alone. The primary effectiveness end point was complete seal of the LAA, and the primary safety end point was the occurrence of major adverse events at 45 days.

RESULTS: Among 96,968 patients, 1.9% (n = 1844) underwent concomitant ablation; these patients were younger (median 73 [quartile 1, quartile 3 68-78] vs 76 [72-82] years) and had lower CHA2DS2-VASc scores (4 [3-5] vs 5 [4-6]), previous clinically relevant bleeding (32.4% vs 56.6%), or fall risk (30.2% vs 42.2%). The most common discharge drug therapy in the concomitant AF ablation group was direct-acting oral anticoagulant plus aspirin (56.2%), followed by direct-acting oral anticoagulant alone (30.0%). Immediately after implant, patients undergoing concomitant ablation had lower rates of any residual leak (1.6% vs 3.7%; P < .001); no difference was seen at 45 days (15.7% vs 16.9%; P = .29). In-hospital major adverse events were more frequent in those undergoing LAAO with concomitant ablation than LAAO without ablation (1.9% vs 1.2%; P = .0111). In-hospital major bleeding (1.6% vs 1.0%; P = .0073) and pericardial effusion requiring intervention (0.8% vs 0.4%; P = .0108) were more frequent with combined LAAO and AF ablation. At 1 year after the procedure, the composite of all-cause mortality, stroke, or systemic embolism was less frequent in those undergoing LAAO with concomitant ablation (5.2% vs 9.3%; P < .0001).

CONCLUSION: Patients undergoing concomitant AF ablation at the time of LAAO are younger and have fewer comorbidities. There was no clinically important difference in LAA seal peridevice leaks with concomitant LAAO; however, there was a higher rate of major bleeding and pericardial effusion requiring intervention.

Fearon, William F, Allen Jeremias, Guy Witberg, Rasha Al-Lamee, David J Cohen, Amir Kaki, Rahul P Sharma, et al. (2026) 2026. “Angiography-Derived Fractional Flow Reserve to Guide PCI.”. The New England Journal of Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2600949.

BACKGROUND: Assessing intermediate coronary lesions with an intracoronary pressure wire improves clinical outcomes in patients undergoing cardiac catheterization and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, clinical use of pressure-wire-based physiological assessment remains low. Measurement of fractional flow reserve (FFR) derived from coronary angiographic images alone correlates well with pressure-wire-based FFR measurements and may simplify procedures, but its effect on clinical outcomes is unknown.

METHODS: In this international noninferiority trial, we randomly assigned patients undergoing coronary angiography who were found to have at least one intermediate coronary stenosis to physiological assessment with measurements derived from angiographic images (FFRangio) or with pressure-wire-based measurements. The primary end point was a composite of death, myocardial infarction, or unplanned, clinically indicated coronary revascularization at 1 year. The noninferiority margin was 3.5 percentage points.

RESULTS: A total of 1930 patients were randomly assigned to physiological assessment with FFRangio (FFRangio group; 965 patients) or a pressure-wire-based approach (pressure-wire group; 965 patients). The mean age of the patients was 68.4 years, and 25.0% of the patients were women. At 1 year, a primary end-point event had occurred in 64 patients (Kaplan-Meier estimate, 6.9%) in the FFRangio group and 65 patients (Kaplan-Meier estimate, 7.1%) in the pressure-wire group (hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.70 to 1.39; difference, -0.2 percentage points; upper boundary of the one-sided 97.5% confidence interval, 2.1 percentage points; P<0.001 for noninferiority). There were no apparent differences between the groups with respect to the incidence of bleeding, acute kidney injury, or procedure-related adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with intermediate coronary-artery lesions undergoing physiological assessment in the cardiac catheterization laboratory, an angiography-guided strategy involving FFRangio was noninferior to a pressure-wire-guided strategy with respect to a composite end point of death, myocardial infarction, or unplanned clinically indicated coronary revascularization at 1 year. (Funded by CathWorks; ALL-RISE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05893498.).

2025

Anderson, Emily, Yun Choi, Rachel J Buchsbaum, Andreas Klein, Bonnie Ky, Daniel Landsburg, Urshila Durani, et al. (2025) 2025. “Hematology-Oncology Provider Perspectives Regarding Lymphoma Treatment and Cardioprotective Strategies in Patients With Lymphoma at High Risk for Heart Failure.”. Leukemia & Lymphoma 66 (8): 1437-46. https://doi.org/10.1080/10428194.2025.2484367.

The optimal treatment of patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) or Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) with preexisting cardiomyopathy is uncertain. An anonymous, electronic survey was distributed by e-mail to three US lymphoma cooperative groups, two community hospitals, and twelve academic medical systems, and distributed at one international lymphoma meeting. Fifty hematology-oncology providers caring for patients with lymphoma were included. In response to a vignette of a 67-yo with Stage III DLBCL with LVEF of 40-45%, 15 (30%) would use non-anthracycline regimens, 13 (26%) R-CHOP with liposomal doxorubicin instead of doxorubicin, 11 (22%) R-CHOP without modification and 6 (12%) R-CHOP with a continuous doxorubicin infusion. In a second vignette of a patient with HL in remission after frontline treatment with doxorubicin cumulative dose 300 mg/m2, 16 (32%) would order an echocardiogram after treatment. There was substantial variability in preferred treatment regimens with preexisting cardiomyopathy and in cardiac monitoring after anthracycline.

Rodday, Angie Mae, Andrew M Evens, Matthew J Maurer, Jenica N Upshaw, Nicholas Counsell, Sara Rossetti, Cheryl Chang, et al. (2025) 2025. “An Individualized Prediction Model for Early-Stage Classic Hodgkin’s Lymphoma.”. NEJM Evidence 4 (9): EVIDoa2500115. https://doi.org/10.1056/EVIDoa2500115.

BACKGROUND: A predictive model for early-stage classic Hodgkin's lymphoma (cHL) does not exist. Leveraging patient-level data from large clinical trials and registries, we developed and validated a model that we term the Early-Stage cHL International Prognostication Index (E-HIPI) to predict 2-year progression-free survival (PFS).

METHODS: We developed the model using the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines in 3000 adults with newly diagnosed early-stage cHL from four international phase III clinical trials conducted from 1994 to 2011. External validation was performed in two cohorts, totaling 2360 treated patients from five international cHL registries (1996 to 2019). Two-year PFS was estimated using a Cox model with pretreatment variables selected using backward elimination. Internal validation corrected for overfitting. External validation assessed discrimination and calibration. The final model was also compared against European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) favorable or unfavorable status.

RESULTS: The median age in the development cohort was 31.2 years; 77.4% had stage II disease. The estimated 2-year PFS was 93.7%. Final variables retained in the model were sex and continuous values of maximum tumor diameter (MTD), and levels of hemoglobin and albumin. The optimism-corrected C statistic in the development cohort was 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.69). Two-year PFS was lower in the validation cohorts 1 (90.3%) and 2 (91.6%). In validation cohort 1, the C statistic was 0.63 and the calibration slope was near 1, but overall calibration indicated underprediction, which improved on updating the intercept. The performance was similar in validation cohort 2. In addition, higher-risk E-HIPI scores were associated with worse outcomes in both the EORTC unfavorable and favorable subgroups. When included altogether in one Cox model, the E-HIPI was associated with PFS, whereas EORTC favorable or unfavorable status was not. Online risk calculators were developed (https://rtools.mayo.edu/holistic_ehipi/).

CONCLUSIONS: Utilizing objective, continuous, and readily available variables, we developed and validated a new prediction model for early-stage cHL. Male sex, lower hemoglobin or albumin levels, and higher MTDs were associated with worse PFS. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute; grant number, NCI R01 CA 262265-04.).

Travers, Richard J, Nicholas Camarda, Iris Z Jaffe, Raphael A Lizcano, and Jenica N Upshaw. (2025) 2025. “Permissive Cardiotoxicity and Determination of Anthracycline Risk With Previous Anthracycline Exposure.”. JACC. Case Reports 30 (18): 104028. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaccas.2025.104028.

Anthracyclines are an effective treatment for hematologic malignancies but have significant risk of cardiotoxicity that increases with lifetime dose, best characterized for doxorubicin. However, patients may receive different anthracycline formulations, and cardiotoxic dose equivalency for nondoxorubicin anthracyclines is uncertain, making it challenging to calculate a patient's lifetime dose to make decisions about safety of additional anthracycline treatment and risk stratification for monitoring and cardioprotective strategies. In addition, dexrazoxane reduces the risk of cardiovascular toxicity with anthracyclines but how to incorporate previous dexrazoxane treatment into risk stratification is unclear. Here, a young woman previously treated with anthracyclines as induction therapy for acute myeloid leukemia and concern for previous anthracycline cardiotoxicity presented with disease relapse. Because optimal therapy included retreatment with anthracyclines, this case demonstrates the multidisciplinary discussion for her case, reviewing the risks and benefits of repeat anthracycline exposure and detailing the evidence for strategies to monitor and prevent worsening cardiotoxicity.