Publications

Right ventricular (RV) to pulmonary arterial (PA) coupling describes the ability of the RV to augment contractility in response to increased afterload. Several echocardiographic indexes of RV-PA coupling have been defined; however, the optimal numerator in the coupling ratio is unclear. We sought to establish which of these ratios is best for assessing RV-PA coupling based on their relations with 6-minute walk distance (6MWD), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) in aging adults. In this study of 1,611 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants who underwent echocardiography at Exam 6, we evaluated the association between different numerators, including tricuspid annular planar systolic excursion (TAPSE), fractional area change (FAC), RV free wall strain, and tissue Doppler imaging S' velocity to pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) with 6MWD, NT-proBNP, and KCCQ score, adjusted for socioeconomic and cardiovascular disease risk factors. Our cohort had a mean age of 73 ± 8 years, 54% female, 17% Chinese American, 22% African American, 22% Hispanic, and 39% White participants. The mean ( ± SD) TAPSE/PASP, FAC/PASP, tissue Doppler imaging S' velocity/PASP, and RV free wall strain:PASP ratios were 0.7 ± 0.2, 1.3 ± 0.3, 0.5 ± 0.1, and 0.8 ± 0.2, respectively. All RV-PA coupling indices decreased with age (p <0.0001 for all). TAPSE:PASP ratio was lower in older (³85 years) female (0.59 ± 0.14) versus male (0.65 ± 0.17) participants (p = 0.01), whereas FAC/PASP ratio was higher in the same female versus male participants (p <0.01). TAPSE/PASP and FAC/PASP ratios were significantly and strongly associated with all NT-proBNP, 6MWD, and KCCQ scores in fully adjusted and receiver operating characteristic analysis. In older community-dwelling adults free of heart failure and pulmonary hypertension, both FAC/PASP and TAPSE:PASP ratios are optimal for assessment of RV-PA coupling based on its association with 6MWD, NT-proBNP, and KCCQ score. FAC/PASP ratio has the additional benefit of reflecting age and gender-related geometric and functional changes.

BACKGROUND: Female sex is frequently cited as a risk factor for anthracycline cardiotoxicity based on pediatric data, but the role of sex in the development of cardiotoxicity has not been clearly established in adults.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effect of female sex on the development of incident heart failure (HF) in adult patients treated with anthracyclines.

METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 1525 adult patients with no prior history of HF or cardiomyopathy who were treated with anthracyclines between 1992 and 2019. The primary outcome was new HF within 5 years of the first dose of anthracyclines. The effect of sex was assessed using Cox proportional hazards and competing risk models.

RESULTS: Over a median (IQR) follow-up of 1.02 (0.30-3.01) years, 4.78% of patients developed HF (44 men and 29 women). Female sex was not associated with the primary outcome in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model (HR 0.87; 95% CI 0.53-1.43; P = 0.58). Similar results were observed in a multivariable model accounting for the competing risk of death (HR 0.94; 95% CI 0.39-2.25; P = 0.88). Age, coronary artery disease and hematopoietic stem cell transplant were associated with the primary outcome in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. Age and body mass index were associated with the primary outcome in a multivariable competing risk model.

CONCLUSIONS: In this large, single-center, retrospective cohort study, female sex was not associated with incident HF in adult patients treated with anthracyclines.

CONDENSED ABSTRACT: Female sex is frequently cited as a risk factor for anthracycline cardiotoxicity based on pediatric data, but the role of sex in the development of cardiotoxicity has not been clearly established in adults. In this retrospective cohort study, we assessed the effect of female sex on the development of incident heart failure in adult patients treated with anthracyclines. Using Cox proportional hazards and competing risk regression models, we found that there was no association between female sex and heart failure after treatment with anthracyclines.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes independent of age and comorbidities, yet the independent influence of frailty progression on cardiovascular outcomes remains uncertain.

METHODS: To determine whether frailty progression is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, independent of baseline frailty and age, we evaluated all Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries ≥65 years at cohort inception with continuous enrollment from 2003 to 2015. Linear mixed effects models, adjusted for baseline frailty and age, were used to estimate change in a validated claims-based frailty index (CFI) over a 5-year period. Survival analysis was used to examine frailty progression and risk of adverse health outcomes.

RESULTS: There were 8.9 million unique patients identified, mean age 77.3 ± 7.2 years, 58.7% female, 10.9% non-White race. In total, 60% had frailty progression and 40% frailty regression over median follow-up of 2.4 years. Compared to those with frailty regression, when adjusting for age and baseline CFI, those with frailty progression had a significantly greater risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-1.31), all-cause mortality (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.34-1.34), acute myocardial infarction (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.07-1.09), heart failure exacerbation (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.29-1.30), ischemic stroke (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.14-1.15). There was also a graded increase in risk of each outcome with more rapid progression, as well as significantly fewer days alive at home (DAH) with more rapid progression compared to the slowest progression group (270.4 ± 112.3 vs. 308.6 ± 93.0 days, rate ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.87-0.88, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: In this large, nationwide sample of older Medicare beneficiaries, frailty progression, independent of age and baseline frailty, was associated with fewer DAH and a graded risk of MACCE, all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and ischemic stroke compared to those with frailty regression.

BACKGROUND: The current standard of practice for cremating patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) is surgical explantation before cremation to mitigate the risk of device explosion. This surgery may conflict with patient or family beliefs, whereas cremation of CIEDs may create occupational hazards.

OBJECTIVE: This study sought to establish an ex vivo model for screening CIED behavior during cremation.

METHODS: Seven CIEDs underwent testing including projectile/sound testing, impact testing, and gas analysis. In the projectile test, devices were heated until thermal failure (explosion) and filmed with a high-speed camera and microphone. For impact testing, brick structures were built to assess damage after explosion. Gas chromatography-mass spectrometry identified released gases. Findings were compared with occupational health standards, where available.

RESULTS: The implantable loop recorder and leadless pacemaker produced minimal kinetic energy and impact risk with thermal failure. The remaining devices demonstrated explosive disintegration at thermal temperatures <500°C. The pacemakers and implantable cardiac defibrillators produced sound levels >120 dB and resulted in damage to brick structures. Small quantities of benzene and hydrogen fluoride were produced but at quantities within acceptable occupational exposure limits in a cremation chamber.

CONCLUSION: All tested CIEDs experienced explosion at temperatures below crematorium standards. The smallest devices produced minimal risk of damage or injury, suggesting that they may safely remain in situ during cremation, whereas the larger devices produced more kinetic energy, testing chamber damage, and louder explosions, suggesting potential risk with cremation. Cadaveric testing in full-sized cremation chambers is required to determine real-world risk.

BACKGROUND: Multiple studies continue to evaluate the use of intracardiac echocardiography (ICE) and transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) for guiding left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO).

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to conduct an updated meta-analysis comparing the effectiveness and safety outcomes of both imaging modalities.

METHODS: PubMed, Cochrane, and Embase were searched for studies comparing ICE vs TEE to guide LAAO. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled using a random-effects model. The primary effectiveness endpoint was procedural success. The primary safety endpoint included the overall complications rate. Additional safety outcomes were assessed as secondary endpoints. Subgroup analysis of primary endpoints was conducted according to device type (Amulet, LAmbre, Watchman, Watchman FLX) and study region (American, Asia, Europe). R Version 4.3.1 was used for all statistical analyses.

RESULTS: Our meta-analysis included 19 observational studies encompassing 42,474 patients, of whom 4415 (10.4%) underwent ICE-guided LAAO. Compared with TEE, ICE was associated with a marginally higher procedural success (OR 1.33; 95% CI 1.01-1.76; P = .04; I2 = 0%). There was no significant difference in the overall complications rate (OR 1.02; 95% CI 0.77-1.36; P = .89; I2 = 5%). However, ICE showed higher rates of pericardial effusion (OR 2.11; 95% CI 1.47-3.03; P <.001; I2 = 0%) and residual iatrogenic atrial septal defect (iASD) (OR 1.52; 95% CI 1.15-2.03; P <.004; I2 = 0%). Subgroup analysis revealed variations in procedural success within the ICE group across study regions (P = .02).

CONCLUSION: In this updated meta-analysis, the increasing adoption of ICE-guided LAAO demonstrated higher procedural success rates compared to TEE, although with limited statistical significance. Overall complication rates were similar; however, ICE showed higher rates of pericardial effusion and residual iASD.

INTRODUCTION: Hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTRv, also referred to as hATTR; ORPHA 271861) and wild-type ATTR amyloidosis (ATTRwt; ORPHA 330001) are rare, progressive, systemic protein misfolding disorders with heterogeneous clinical presentations. ATTRv and ATTRwt amyloidosis are characterized by the deposition of amyloid fibrils in multiple organs including the heart, nerves, eyes, and soft tissues. The management of ATTR amyloidosis is complex because of its multisystemic nature and progression despite available treatment options. Morbidity is high and there are many unmet medical needs for patients. While contemporary ATTR amyloidosis cohorts are diagnosed earlier, have lower risk disease and lower mortality compared with the previous era, these advances coupled with the emergence of effective disease-modifying therapies have confounded the design of future prospective clinical trials and interpretation of historical control data.

MAIN BODY: The Amyloidosis Forum is a public-private partnership between the US Food and Drug Administration Center for Drug Evaluation and Research and the nonprofit Amyloidosis Research Consortium ( www.arci.org ). This article summarizes proceedings from the 21 June 2023 Amyloidosis Forum on advancing drug development in ATTR amyloidosis in an evolving treatment landscape. The Forum focused on elements of clinical trial design to address these challenges and discussed their strengths and weaknesses from multiple stakeholder perspectives (i.e., patient, sponsor, statistician, clinician, and regulatory authorities).

CONCLUSION: Given rapid evolution of natural history in ATTR amyloidosis, the utility of historical control data is limited. Leveraging contemporary real-world data is essential for clinical trial design. Evidence generation from clinical trials should address clinically relevant questions. Key factors in successful trial design must be informed by up-to-date data on natural history, prognostic factors, clinically meaningful thresholds, and sharing available clinical trial data. The Amyloidosis Forum includes the community of patients with ATTR amyloidosis, the physicians who treat them, and the sponsors and regulators who collectively stand ready to support further studies in order to develop novel effective therapies.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease and stroke are common and costly, and their prevalence is rising. Forecasts on the prevalence of risk factors and clinical events are crucial.

METHODS: Using the 2015 to March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and 2015 to 2019 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, we estimated trends in prevalence for cardiovascular risk factors based on adverse levels of Life's Essential 8 and clinical cardiovascular disease and stroke. We projected through 2050, overall and by age and race and ethnicity, accounting for changes in disease prevalence and demographics.

RESULTS: We estimate that among adults, prevalence of hypertension will increase from 51.2% in 2020 to 61.0% in 2050. Diabetes (16.3% to 26.8%) and obesity (43.1% to 60.6%) will increase, whereas hypercholesterolemia will decline (45.8% to 24.0%). The prevalences of poor diet, inadequate physical activity, and smoking are estimated to improve over time, whereas inadequate sleep will worsen. Prevalences of coronary disease (7.8% to 9.2%), heart failure (2.7% to 3.8%), stroke (3.9% to 6.4%), atrial fibrillation (1.7% to 2.4%), and total cardiovascular disease (11.3% to 15.0%) will rise. Clinical CVD will affect 45 million adults, and CVD including hypertension will affect more than 184 million adults by 2050 (>61%). Similar trends are projected in children. Most adverse trends are projected to be worse among people identifying as American Indian/Alaska Native or multiracial, Black, or Hispanic.

CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of many cardiovascular risk factors and most established diseases will increase over the next 30 years. Clinical and public health interventions are needed to effectively manage, stem, and even reverse these adverse trends.

IMPORTANCE: Since 2013, the American College of Cardiology (ACC) and American Heart Association (AHA) have recommended the pooled cohort equations (PCEs) for estimating the 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). An AHA scientific advisory group recently developed the Predicting Risk of cardiovascular disease EVENTs (PREVENT) equations, which incorporated kidney measures, removed race as an input, and improved calibration in contemporary populations. PREVENT is known to produce ASCVD risk predictions that are lower than those produced by the PCEs, but the potential clinical implications have not been quantified.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the number of US adults who would experience changes in risk categorization, treatment eligibility, or clinical outcomes when applying PREVENT equations to existing ACC and AHA guidelines.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Nationally representative cross-sectional sample of 7765 US adults aged 30 to 79 years who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys of 2011 to March 2020, which had response rates ranging from 47% to 70%.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Differences in predicted 10-year ASCVD risk, ACC and AHA risk categorization, eligibility for statin or antihypertensive therapy, and projected occurrences of myocardial infarction or stroke.

RESULTS: In a nationally representative sample of 7765 US adults aged 30 to 79 years (median age, 53 years; 51.3% women), it was estimated that using PREVENT equations would reclassify approximately half of US adults to lower ACC and AHA risk categories (53.0% [95% CI, 51.2%-54.8%]) and very few US adults to higher risk categories (0.41% [95% CI, 0.25%-0.62%]). The number of US adults receiving or recommended for preventive treatment would decrease by an estimated 14.3 million (95% CI, 12.6 million-15.9 million) for statin therapy and 2.62 million (95% CI, 2.02 million-3.21 million) for antihypertensive therapy. The study estimated that, over 10 years, these decreases in treatment eligibility could result in 107 000 additional occurrences of myocardial infarction or stroke. Eligibility changes would affect twice as many men as women and a greater proportion of Black adults than White adults.

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: By assigning lower ASCVD risk predictions, application of the PREVENT equations to existing treatment thresholds could reduce eligibility for statin and antihypertensive therapy among 15.8 million US adults.